Sorry for the lack of posts and I realise I’m a few weeks late, but with University taking up majority of my time I’ve had to leave blogging for when I’m less busy.
As you may or may not know, the Scottish National Party (SNP) gained their best and most historic result in the recent Scottish Parliamentary Elections (details here), gaining 69 seats out of the 129 seated Scottish Parliament – a huge surge from 2007′s elections of 46. They managed – out of complete surprise and disbelieve of every political broadcaster and analyser – a majority in the Scottish Parliament, something which was thought to be completely impossible; when Labour created the system they dubbed it the “will never allow the SNP gain a majority” system. Look at what they just did this year!
The SNP did the unthinkable: they broke into Labour’s stronghold of Glasgow and urban, industrial parts of Scotland and ripped them to shreds. Where they didn’t gain the seat, they gained a huge swing from Labour to their party and were dangerously close to achieving even more seats. The big story of the night was the Glasgow gain (having gained 5 out of 9 seats) but the SNP also managed to achieve big results in Central Scotland, managing to get both Falkirk seats; and Western Scotland, managing to steal Labour key seats like Paisley and Renfrewshire North & West. North Eastern Scotland was a clean sweep for SNP: 9 out of 9 constituency seats went to the ‘Nats’ and to rub salt in the Liberal and Labour wound, another 1 seat in the regional seat category (yes, 10 out of 10 seats!).
My personal anecdote here is that it someone has got a huge map of Scotland, filled in the boundaries and constituencies and then dumped Yellow paint all over it, filling in tiny Red and Blue pockets as you go. ”Oh blast!” as you suddenly remember: you forgot to get orange paint for the Liberal Orkney and Shetland seats.
The Scottish Labour Party, having thought they would increase their vote share of Liberal voters due to the collapse of the Liberal Democrats & their coalition with the Conservatives in Westminster and thinking their SNP scaremongering tactic would allow them to comfortably win, had a disastrous night. They only managed to gain 2 seats from the Conservatives but lose a number of seats to the SNP – all constituencies they contested in had huge swings from their party to the SNP.
They managed to reduce their seats from 44 to 37 and lost many key members – one prime example would be Andy Kerr, who was poised to be the next Leader of the party after Iain Gray steps down in the Autumn. Speaking of Mr. Gray, he managed to just squeeze on to his East Lothian seat, with the SNP counter-part breathing down his neck in second place. 151 votes were all that stood between Mr. Gray losing his seat; he would have been absolutely shocked that he almost came a cropper due to the SNP tidal wave. I made the good point of: “Leaders normally retain high or gain votes, not have a majority by the skin of his teeth!”.
Labour’s scaremongering, negative pre-election campaign probably did more harm than help. The Scottish people and the Scottish voters can be incredibly smart, tactical and vengeful when it comes down to elections. With their broken promises over the decade lying somewhere in a London gutter, the Scottish voters decided that Labour can no longer stand up as a voice of Scotland – gone are the days of Glasgow and Urbanized Labour strongholds.
The Scottish Conservative & Unionist Party (or shortened to the Scottish Conservatives) admitted in the pre-election run-up that their party wouldn’t be the next ruling party; Ms. Annabel Goldie admitting “one of these men [Salmond and Gray] will be the next First Minister of Scotland,” saying “she does not deny that fact”. Despite this, they were confident that they would gain a few seats and a slight momentum so they could “viciously challenge the next leading party”.
They sadly did not. The Tories – still pretty toxic north of the Bonnie border – failed to gain ground and lost 5 seats; down from a reasonable 20, to a weakening 15. Comparing Holyrood and Westminster seats together: they have a grand total of 16 seats (15 in Holyrood, 1 in Westminster).
What was pretty shocking, for me anyway, was the loss of the Edinburgh Pentlands seat to the ‘Nats’. When I was watching the election results Live, I was literally gob smacked when it came up with “Edinburgh Pentlands .. SNP GAIN”. They have no constituency seats north of the South of Scotland.
Annabel Goldie failed to gain her constituency seat but this wasn’t surprising at all – she did manage to get re-elected in the proportional regional-list vote. Despite this, and she did discuss this pre-election as well, she has announced she’ll be stepping down as Leader in the Autumn. The “Holyrood Mumsy” or “Aunt” was a very up-front, fierce and realistic Opposition MSP – she challenged anything and anyone and was far from the clichéd Politician. She will remain as an MSP but I doubt she’ll be as ‘scary’ when she goes to the backbenches.
The Scottish Liberal Democrats knew they faced an unfair, unbeatable and unimaginable battle to achieve what little respect they could scavenge. The challenge of retaining their 17 seats was seen as an impossible task as the Scottish voters dug the party a grave because of their partnership in Westminster with the Tories. No matter how well they tried, they knew they had failed.
Remember my little tidbit about Scottish voters being vengeful? Yes, this is exactly what happened here. The Lib Dems were a strong force in Scotland, winning voters around rural, city and farmland areas. There was no doubt 17 seats was a pretty healthy number but who knew they would return to Parliament with just only five seats? I did, and I’m surprised they didn’t get less.
Edinburgh seats, Fife seats, Aberdeenshire seats, Highland & Island seats .. all went to SNP. The only constituency seats left are the Orkney and Shetland seats – the other three being picked up across Scotland by the regional votes. The fact that the Lib Dems have no constituency seats on the Mainland is something of a record in itself.
The party suffered a disastrous night and it was clear that the Scottish voters have absolutely no interest with them any more. It also points toward, again, the toxic levels with the Conservatives. Associate yourself with them and don’t ever come back.
The Scottish Green Party, the only other party to actually increase their vote share, had a reasonably good night but failed to gain any seats.
Despite polls showing they would achieve a seat from every region (they only contest in the regional votes), giving them 8 seats, they unfortunately only held on to their 2 seats from before.
Margo MacDonald – an Independent politician in the Lothian region – also returned to Parliament. No other parties, or Independent politicians, gained a seat – with the likes of the BNP, UKIP, George Galloway, the Scottish Christian Party and the Scottish Socialist Party; all contesting but failing to gain votes.
The result night, which I watched (well, the majority of it anyway) live, was such a buzz. The atmosphere felt so fresh, exciting and democratic. It will be a long time until we have another election (2015 for Westminster, providing it isn’t called early; 2016 for the next Scottish election) and that unique ‘buzz’ and excitement probably won’t be beaten. The night, as a whole, was a historic one and will probably be unrepeatable.
Now it’s time to cut a slice from the Independence cake.